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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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Cabinet row over Theresa May delay request to EU

Theresa May is writing to the EU to ask for Brexit to be postponed until 30 June with the option of a longer delay, cabinet sources say.

One minister told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg there was "no agreement" around the cabinet table.

Another source expressed frustration that the prime minister did not make a clear indication of the option she would actually argue for.

Under current law the UK will leave the EU with or without a deal in 10 days.

The prime minister says the UK will need a short extension to get the necessary legislation through Parliament, if MPs back her withdrawal deal.

She has warned Brexiteer Tories a longer extension will be needed if the deal does not get through Parliament - but any delay will have to be agreed by all 27 EU member states.

One cabinet source said the longer delay could be up to two years, but Downing Street sources said there was no final decision at cabinet on the length of an extension and a date had not been set.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47627744
 
I dunno - he is still at the end of the day a conservative MP and has been for over 20 years
I also think he will leave himself as soon as there is some brexit clarity (deal or long extension) as hes now seen as too divisive a figure to continue in that role by many MP's
The Tories hate Bercow with a vengeance, and he revels in it. Labour were nicely mischievous when they nominated him for speaker and I remember the Tories being unhappy at the time.
 
The Tories hate Bercow with a vengeance, and he revels in it. Labour were nicely mischievous when they nominated him for speaker and I remember the Tories being unhappy at the time.

If he were still a regular MP I think he would have joined The Independent Group, he was definitely close to the centre, perhaps even akin to New Labour.
 
If MPs had voted for indicative votes, would this have been substantial enough for May to present to the EU in order to get an extension?

I'm still astonished that just over half of the Commons voted against this.
 
An extension would still result in the same uncertainty about the WA. May doesn't seem to have the numbers, an extension won't change that.

I am hopeful the EU27 will then not allow an extension, without May accepting a second referendum. Macron (and others) needs to hold there ground on this.

May won't be able to do that.

May will then face no deal or withdrawing article 50 and fairly certain will go with the latter.
 
As long as I have enough time to get these Iberdrola shares handed over into my name and sold before everything goes to pot I'm happy.

#imalrightjack
#whythefeckamiusinghashtags
 
If MPs had voted for indicative votes, would this have been substantial enough for May to present to the EU in order to get an extension?

I'm still astonished that just over half of the Commons voted against this.

It would have forced them to actually put their thoughts out and back something (on an individual and perhaps party level). They are all far happier refusing to take any control of the process so that they can just blame May.
 


I wonder if Brexit on the 29th isn't the best way to get a deal quickly. It seems that parliament will only act with maturity when they have no other option and a no deal brexit next week seems to be the obvious context.
 
I've no quotes sorry but I've read that quite a few of her own MPs are asking for her to stand down as a condition of them changing their vote. Your opinion of Bercow is as good as mine, but I think he would be chuffed to bits with her scalp on his belt, as he would see it. I'm not putting the scenario forward as probable of course, just a possible.
I don't understand this. If the deal is not acceptable to them, that should be independent of the name of the Prime Minister. Will May resigning make it a better deal?
 
I wonder if Brexit on the 29th isn't the best way to get a deal quickly. It seems that parliament will only act with maturity when they have no other option and a no deal brexit next week seems to be the obvious context.

I don't see the UK parliament getting a majority consensus on anything and I don't think the EU believe they will either. No deal still looks most likely to me. Something radical has to happen quickly and parliament are still sleepwalking.
 
I don't see the UK parliament getting a majority consensus on anything and I don't think the EU believe they will either. No deal still looks most likely to me. Something radical has to happen quickly and parliament are still sleepwalking.

That's my point. By leaving on the 29th, I think that there are more chances to get a deal quickly after the 29th than if you extend the transition period.
 
I don't understand this. If the deal is not acceptable to them, that should be independent of the name of the Prime Minister. Will May resigning make it a better deal?
No it won't. Politicians disagree even in the same party, and end up hating each other for both policy and personal reasons. I don't know where you work but a lot of people will recognise this in their own workplaces, strangely the higher you go the more it seems to apply. Look at Labour now, the Corbynites hate the Centrists more than they do the Tories, it's the way of the world I'm afraid :).
 
An extension would still result in the same uncertainty about the WA. May doesn't seem to have the numbers, an extension won't change that.

I am hopeful the EU27 will then not allow an extension, without May accepting a second referendum. Macron (and others) needs to hold there ground on this.

May won't be able to do that.

May will then face no deal or withdrawing article 50 and fairly certain will go with the latter.

I'm no certain she will at all. I'd much prefer her to, but she seems to see her job as delivering brexit no matter what. So much more likely we leave without a deal and she then resigns.
 
I wonder if Brexit on the 29th isn't the best way to get a deal quickly. It seems that parliament will only act with maturity when they have no other option and a no deal brexit next week seems to be the obvious context.

Even at 1 minute to 11.oo pm on the 29th there will be hesitation. Only when 'No deal' passes into UK law can real discussions take place with the EU about future trade deals (which in fairness they have said from the off!). If we have signed off on any sort of WA 'deal' without trade, before 11.00pm on 29th, then we are f***ed; France will be on about fishing, Spain about Gibraltar and God knows what else an endless litany of working out deals with 27 countries is potentially in the offing for years to come.

Until "Brexit means Brexit" nothing gets done... oh woe is me!!

Of course at 1 minute to 11.oo pm on the 29th, Theresa could withdraw A50!! Wonder what odds you get on this outcome?
 
That's my point. By leaving on the 29th, I think that there are more chances to get a deal quickly after the 29th than if you extend the transition period.

But if they leave on 29th there is no transition period. Until reality slaps them in the face I can see them procrastinating forever more.
A few months of no deal and they'll be begging for re-entry.
 
But if they leave on 29th there is no transition period. Until reality slaps them in the face I can see them procrastinating forever more.
A few months of no deal and they'll be begging for re-entry.

That's my point, all these transition periods, withdrawal agreements and other extensions created a situation where UK MPs have been focused on everything but the UK and its relationship with the world. Without a deal on March 30th, they will be forced to change their priorities.
 
That's my point, all these transition periods, withdrawal agreements and other extensions created a situation where UK MPs have been focused on everything but the UK and its relationship with the world. Without a deal on March 30th, they will be forced to change their priorities.

Logically yes, but the party politics would still continue, which is far more important to all of them. There's very little logic in parliament.
 
But if they leave on 29th there is no transition period. Until reality slaps them in the face I can see them procrastinating forever more.
A few months of no deal and they'll be begging for re-entry.

I hope they force them into Schengen and the Eurozone as part of it.
 
You've a long way to go to beat @devilish for begging, he used to have us begging three times a day at least.

I am not particularly renowned for mincing words but jeez some of the things being thrown around at the moment is tough even for my standards. Is it true that France minister for foreign affairs had mentioned her cat Brexit because it meows loudly to be let out each morning, but then refuses to go outside when she opens the door?
 
I am not particularly renowned for mincing words but jeez some of the things being thrown around at the moment is tough even for my standards. Is it true that France minister for foreign affairs had mentioned her cat Brexit because it meows loudly to be let out each morning, but then refuses to go outside when she opens the door?

It is supposed to be true.:lol:
 

If it was her decision, I have an idea about what would happen next week. I wonder how much her opinion is representative of the french government and other european ministers.
 
I am not particularly renowned for mincing words but jeez some of the things being thrown around at the moment is tough even for my standards. Is it true that France minister for foreign affairs had mentioned her cat Brexit because it meows loudly to be let out each morning, but then refuses to go outside when she opens the door?

She said it was a joke and didn't have a cat
 
I am not particularly renowned for mincing words but jeez some of the things being thrown around at the moment is tough even for my standards. Is it true that France minister for foreign affairs had mentioned her cat Brexit because it meows loudly to be let out each morning, but then refuses to go outside when she opens the door?
I have a similar thing on my facebook, but funnier, the cat just sits at the open door and looks at it.
 
The one big silver lining for you Brits is that this has highlighted just how bad your politicians are and made it crystal clear who the worst culprits are. We could all do with such a watershed moment in our own countries.

These idiots were idiots before Brexit and without it, they may have happily carried out their careers, blaming their inadequacies on Europe and immigrants and poor people until they shuffled off into well paid retirement. At least now you have an opportunity to properly purge the sewer, as painful as it's going to be in the short term. In a hundred years they might actually look back on Brexit as a turning of the tide.
 
Disruptive Capital, whose mission statement is to “exploit market uncertainty” to generate returns.

In dystopian movies, the evil corporations have forgettable or at worse suggestive names. Here they just spell out within their name that they're going to feck you.

Shinra Electric Power Company, Wallace Corp and Tyrell Corp on the forgettable side, Omnicorp is more suggestive. None of them are like Disruptive Capital (or Bain Capital).