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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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Tech support, sys admin. As i said earlier, palo alto used to pay tech support 120k but they dont have to now. Some companies do pay and they aquire the best people, others are happy with adequate.

That's a pretty good field in terms of jobs, you did well.:)
 
It's actually possible, the only EU nationals allowed to be in your country are the ones with a job or that are studying, the rest only have 3 months.

So basically it's up to our government to do their job. Like most of the 'problems' people lay at the feet of the EU.
 
Tech support, sys admin. As i said earlier, palo alto used to pay tech support 120k but they dont have to now. Some companies do pay and they aquire the best people, others are happy with adequate.

Some people come in with absurd salary demands. I have a friend managing a small team and most of the nationals he interviewed were looking to start on 80k+. Fresh out of college or with some limited experience so these weren't rock star IT guys. He ended up hiring a Brazilian guy for 45k who's ridiculously good and he routinely admits knows more than he does. He's been pushing for a raise for him for a while. His language skills aren't great but my friend loves him. Good attitude, can be rang at 8 or 9 on the evening to get onto something and he doesn't complain about it. Hes friendly and has good social skills too (outside of language as said, which isn't great), which hes found a problem previously when hiring
 
Well at the moment the topic is race to the bottom which is enhanced by fom.

I think Social Dumping is the more correct term for this effect. Even though not 100% right.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_dumping

I don't think there's a specific term about the impact of workers flooding the job market and creating a suppression on wages.

Race to the bottom is government deregulation and lowering of taxes to corporations. Which is something different.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_to_the_bottom
 
Some people come in with absurd salary demands. I have a friend managing a small team and most of the nationals he interviewed were looking to start on 80k+. Fresh out of college or with some limited experience so these weren't rock star IT guys. He ended up hiring a Brazilian guy for 45k who's ridiculously good and he routinely admits knows more than he does. He's been pushing for a raise for him for a while. His language skills aren't great but my friend loves him. Good attitude, can be rang at 8 or 9 on the evening to get onto something and he doesn't complain about it. Hes friendly and has good social skills too (outside of language as said, which isn't great), which hes found a problem previously when hiring
Most expats I've worked with over the years in Dublin have been excellent (Portuguese, Brazilian's, Polish in particular), putting us to shame at times, and probably not earning as much as us either.

As a result of this and the push for multi-nationals to achieve ethnic balance I have noticed it being more difficult to get IT jobs in Dublin than before (there's still a lot around, though), when it felt like a big advantage to be Irish.
 
I think Social Dumping is the more correct term for this effect. Even though not 100% right.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_dumping

I don't think there's a specific term about the impact of workers flooding the job market and creating a suppression on wages.

Race to the bottom is government deregulation and lowering of taxes to corporations. Which is something different.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_to_the_bottom

On that subject I will just share that.
 
Aren't corp taxes responsible for the job boom in Ireland years ago? It certainly cost me my job at ibm in nl when it all moved to dublin.
 
On that subject I will just share that.

I will read it in detail at another time, but at a glance... what it's saying is that:
a) the pressure is higher on the lower end of the economic scale
b) effect on salaries is not that big

However, I want to check if that's comparing markets across different nations with different levels of migration. Like I said, some countries have experienced a boom in salaries in specific high-demand sectors like mine. But that same salary boom has not been evident in the UK (while demand is very strong) and has led to wage disparities between different countries. It'd be interesting to see if that's explained at all and if that is attributed to something else other than migration. Which is possible, of course.
 
And why did you vote remain? What do you reply to them with?

I asked them if that was what they really thought the referendum was all about and their usual response was well if it sorts out the foreigners they're all for it.

That's why I opted for remain because leaving didn't make sense and at the time the pro Brexit rhetoric was all about the £350m to the NHS and curbing the 'foreigners', which as far as I could see was all bullshit. I couldn't believe....and still can't believe that the country made such a major decision without any substantiated fact, corroboratory evidence or forward planning. I think people would have been more accepting of the vote leave decision if it had been more of an informed choice.
 
I asked them if that was what they really thought the referendum was all about and their usual response was well if it sorts out the foreigners they're all for it.

That's why I opted for remain because leaving didn't make sense and at the time the pro Brexit rhetoric was all about the £350m to the NHS and curbing the 'foreigners', which as far as I could see was all bullshit. I couldn't believe....and still can't believe that the country made such a major decision without any substantiated fact, corroboratory evidence or forward planning. I think people would have been more accepting of the vote leave decision if it had been more of an informed choice.

Tbh misleading people in the manner many of your politicians did should be criminalised imo. Borderline traitorous imo.
 
What do you attribute to the boom there then, just a change of scenery for companies?

Pretty sure hes agreeing with you. I think any other advantages Ireland offered only became apparent after they moved here for the corp taxes savings.
 
The thing is that it's actually controlling migration and demography, I can understand why people tend to focus on how to prevent people from crossing borders but it's not a complete view of migration control.

Edit: Migration control includes people that come in and people that leave your territory, you can have a policy that incite people to come or have a policy that is less welcoming.

We're not gonna agree on that. A policy/law affecting demographics and migration is not the same as controlling them. You have no control over how many come in, what sectors they gonna be working in and what the impact will be on the job or housing market, ultimately. Which is generally what people refer to by controlling immigration.

It's free immigration with some basic rules. That's probably the best I can describe it.
 
Yeah but here's the flipside. When that shortage materialises, maybe the hospitality industry will start having to pay higher salaries instead of pittance which will also increase retention and prevent the "churn" as they describe it. That's a positive for the average person.

When you have uncontrolled migration, due to a union of economies of hugely different scales, you get a large influx of workers across the whole spectrum. Both for employment sectors that need workers, and for sectors that don't. When the worker supply begins to exceed the demand, the salaries stop growing. Because you can always readily replace a departing worker with another one for same or lower salary. It creates a downward pressure on salaries. As logic dictates and also evidenced in Mediterranean economies of large unemployment rates.

For healthy economies though, you end up in a situation where businesses are flourishing because they take advantage of cheaper and readily available labour. The stock exchange is booming , dividends for rich shareholders go up and CEO pay packets rocket upwards. Meanwhile the average worker salary is staying put or even decreasing after adjusting for inflation. Now if the country is also caught up in a financial bind, having to cut back on services & benefits then you have a really nasty effect where the rich start getting much richer while the lower classes bear the brunt in every way possible by both salaries and public services being hit. This an incomplete (admittedly) summation of what has happened in the UK in the last 8 years.

For example I look at my industry which is I.T. and I compare UK salaries to US salaries. The combination of two effects in the US have created a shortage:
a) more expensive education not easily available to all. And..
b) strong restriction on migration

This has resulted in highly increased wages. When I last had a look, the average salary in the States is approximately 70% higher compared to the UK for Software Devs, while living costs are largely the same or comparable. My London-based company has an office in NY and when we talked to recruitment agents there with plans to staff an I.T. department the salary expenditure we were confronted with made us shelve the plans entirely and base everything in London.

Now from my POV I see what is happening in the US I.T. industry as a good thing for the workers. The fact some of these firms struggle to get good workers on the cheap, I would not give two fecks about. Especially when most Western countries have rather low corporate/dividend tax, so it's even better for the country if the revenue is transferred to the employees and taxed heavily rather than reported as company profit or dividends and taxed much less. So long as business growth is not too negatively impacted, the average Joe benefits from a minor shortage.

So yeah, there is a problem with uncontrolled migration (especially for an English speaking country) and I say that as a pro-European and remainer.

Interesting read.

What would be your answer to Stanley's question?

I'm in spain right now, all the catering jobs are done by Spaniards. In Holland they have only just started employing non dutch speakers in bars and cafs due to chronic shortage of available people. Why are all the catering jobs in the uk done by eastern europeans?
 
Interesting read.

What would be your answer to Stanley's question?

Well, they aren't. There's all sorts of Europeans working in the catering industry, I certainly don't see a prominence of Eastern Europeans, let alone an exclusivity. In fact I see more Southern Europeans than Eastern Europeans in all my local places in London. Which is interesting considering the number of migrants from Eastern Europe are many more than those Southern Europe by official numbers.

Eastern Europeans seem to dominate the construction work sector though in terms of foreign workers. Plenty of Brits working in construction too, since it pays much better than catering though it's arguably a lot harder work.

I'm not sure what the real question is though. Why are foreigners employed in the catering industry in the UK? Or why is not happening in Spain?
 
Well, they aren't.

That's a really good point!

I'm not sure what the real question is though. Why are foreigners employed in the catering industry in the UK? Or why is not happening in Spain?

Well I'm pretty sure it was just another version of 'why are those foreigners taking over our jobs'. And it's exactly this irrational sentiment being used until infinity that has killed the more valid discussions.
 
Well, they aren't. There's all sorts of Europeans working in the catering industry, I certainly don't see a prominence of Eastern Europeans, let alone an exclusivity. In fact I see more Southern Europeans than Eastern Europeans in all my local places in London. Which is interesting considering the number of migrants from Eastern Europe are many more than those Southern Europe by official numbers.

Eastern Europeans seem to dominate the construction work sector though in terms of foreign workers. Plenty of Brits working in construction too, since it pays much better than catering though it's arguably a lot harder work.

I'm not sure what the real question is though. Why are foreigners employed in the catering industry in the UK? Or why is not happening in Spain?

Based on casual observation, I am fairly sure there are foreigners in the catering industry in Spain but they are from LatAm and therefore less obviously “foreigners”, at least to another foreigner. Plus, as mentioned above, Spaniards can’t be as picky as Brits about doung low paid work with anti-social hours due to the much weaker jobs market.
 
Corporation tax makes no sense to me anyway.

Firstly the biggest corporations find ways to legally avoid paying it, gaining an advantage over smaller companies that can’t afford the buy-in cost for complex schemes involving tax havens and government concessions.

Secondly, increased net profits for firms means more money to invest into expansion, r&d, talent retention (salaries), dividends. So ultimately the money returns to the humans and that’s the point when it makes sense for me to tax it.
 
Corporation tax makes no sense to me anyway.

Firstly the biggest corporations find ways to legally avoid paying it, gaining an advantage over smaller companies that can’t afford the buy-in cost for complex schemes involving tax havens and government concessions.

Secondly, increased net profits for firms means more money to invest into expansion, r&d, talent retention (salaries), dividends. So ultimately the money returns to the humans and that’s the point when it makes sense for me to tax it.

Nope, it'll just be paid to the shareholders
 
I will never be tired of saying this:

If a person that is not native in your language (might not even speak it) with no family/friends networking, with bureaucratic burdens (being in EU does not allow you only to work in another country, there are prerequisites for all), not knowing the environment, culture etc... IF that person steal your job (and girlfriend/wife, just I heard that complain too half joke half true) is that you don't fecking deserve it. And no, is not only about the salary (specially girlfriend/wife). There are minimum wages and no, the salaries would not increase that much and if they would, so the cost of the services/products that would reflect that increase that will put you at square 0
 
Corporation tax makes no sense to me anyway.

Firstly the biggest corporations find ways to legally avoid paying it, gaining an advantage over smaller companies that can’t afford the buy-in cost for complex schemes involving tax havens and government concessions.

Secondly, increased net profits for firms means more money to invest into expansion, r&d, talent retention (salaries), dividends. So ultimately the money returns to the humans and that’s the point when it makes sense for me to tax it.

I disagree, i think trickle down economics have been exposed as a total sham for a while.
 
I disagree, i think trickle down economics have been exposed as a total sham for a while.

Tell that to the Irish, yeah? Seems to work a treat for them. From one of the poorest to one of the richest in Europe thanks to basically not asking businesses to pay corporation tax.

Don’t want to derail the thread further though. This is about Brexit. Happy to discuss this at length in another thread
 
I wish the people cared and analysed Brexit as much as we did the England football team.
 
Not strictly. They can stay longer than 3 months without a job so long as they can insure themselves and self-finance. And also you can move out of the country and back in, initiating a new 3-month period. So technically that's not even enforceable. I've never heard of an EU national being deported for not finding a job, have you?

Secondly telling people you have 3-months to find a job is not "controlling migration". Even if people were deported after 3 months of not finding jobs (which they are not) the impact on the jobs market would still be very significant, probably (speculation here) equal to not having that restriction at all.

You can come in as an engineer applying for jobs. If you don't find one in 3 months, you get a job in the catering industry to earn an income while you keep applying for engineering jobs. The impact on the job market for engineers is immediately felt.

https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:62011CJ0300&from=EN

Just because we don't do it doesn't mean we can't.

It's just the cost of doing it would outstrip the benefits massively.

Why do you think it'll change afterwards when we've got the same politicians in charge? They all know the advantages of allowing people in, they're not suddenly going to stop exploiting them.
 
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:62011CJ0300&from=EN

Just because we don't do it doesn't mean we can't.

It's just the cost of doing it would outstrip the benefits massively.

Why do you think it'll change afterwards when we've got the same politicians in charge? They all know the advantages of allowing people in, they're not suddenly going to stop exploiting them.

You're linking me a case of someone forbidden entry into the UK on the grounds of public safety because he was a French - Algerian on a flight from Algeria and he had suspected terrorist links.

What is the point you are trying to make again?
 
I wish the people cared and analysed Brexit as much as we did the England football team.

643 pages suggests people do. But in subjects of politics people can be a bit dogmatic, or entrenched in their views, and unlikely to yield to reason. So there's that
 
I will never be tired of saying this:

If a person that is not native in your language (might not even speak it) with no family/friends networking, with bureaucratic burdens (being in EU does not allow you only to work in another country, there are prerequisites for all), not knowing the environment, culture etc... IF that person steal your job (and girlfriend/wife, just I heard that complain too half joke half true) is that you don't fecking deserve it. And no, is not only about the salary (specially girlfriend/wife). There are minimum wages and no, the salaries would not increase that much and if they would, so the cost of the services/products that would reflect that increase that will put you at square 0

You might not get tired of saying it and I won't get tired of calling it one of the most laughable arguments ever in the history of argumentation.
 
Tell that to the Irish, yeah? Seems to work a treat for them. From one of the poorest to one of the richest in Europe thanks to basically not asking businesses to pay corporation tax.

Don’t want to derail the thread further though. This is about Brexit. Happy to discuss this at length in another thread


Our riches have come at great expense to the rest of Europe. And i dont think the working class, middle class or Government services are doing so well as to be celebrating that much. Things have improved recently and its benefited Ireland a great deal, can't argue with you there. I don't think i'm that keen on debating it really. I get your position and I'm not that attached to my own really. I wouldn't put all our success down to corporation tax rates, being EU members is at least as relevant.
 
Our riches have come at great expense to the rest of Europe. And i dont think the working class, middle class or Government services are doing so well as to be celebrating that much. Things have improved recently and its benefited Ireland a great deal, can't argue with you there. I don't think i'm that keen on debating it really. I get your position and I'm not that attached to my own really. I wouldn't put all our success down to corporation tax rates, being EU members is at least as relevant.

Absolutely. Part of the reason why I'm also pro-European and a remainer. EU membership has some pros and cons, but in my simple head the pros surpass the cons. The EU has many issues that still needs to resolve though, with or without the UK.

Having a central currency but with different economies of different gears and no centralised fiscal policy is, in the long term, a recipe for disaster. The inability for certain countries to devalue the currency by printing money (like the UK did) in the face of financial crises, nearly sunk the Med region. Interests among members conflict and they appear more competitors than partners at times.

Migration is another big problem. Both the legal and the illegal kind. A lot of people don't generally like the racial/ethnic profile of their country changing too fast. Change is inevitable, but the faster the rate of change the more people will kick back. Especially if there are financial crises when migrants will get inevitably scapegoated for it.

Call it xenophobia, racism, bigotry, or lack of education if you want... it's still a factor you can't ignore. It's a reality. We don't live in a Utopia. If we did Communism might have worked. Currently Schengen is under threat, borders are shutting across Europe and right-wing parties are gaining massive ground everywhere. We can keep harping on about how migration is beneficial all the way till the EU collapses and it won't matter one jot.