I would be amazed if there's a future Vidic and Ferdinand in that lot. In my most wildly optimistic moments I might think one of them could reach that level. Absolutely no chance that two will.
By the way, my point is how much work is still to be done in terms of building a title winnning squad, I'm not blaming Van Gaal for what he did or didn't do in summer (although I do think we were crying out for an experienced, top class centre half and Rojo doesn't look like that player at all)
I'm not overly optimistic either. I think Smalling is the most likely to suddenly become a top player if he spends the season on the pitch rather than on the physio table. I don't rate Jones, I think he's a reactive player who doesn't have enough between his ears to make it as a top CB. Better footballer than Smalling, a fighter with some authority but I don think he will ever have the smarts to make it.
I think Van Gaal was right to give our centrebacks this season though, they're all a good age with good reputations, they've all let themselves down though. Had he bought in the summer and the likes of Smalling and Jones could barely get a game all season before leaving in the summer there would have been a lot of criticism from fans and media alike. They've had their chance, there is no denying that.
I've got faith in Rojo too. He needs polishing but then so did Vidic. He passes well, is reasonably composed, quick, strong in the tackle and good in the air and he relishes a fight. I loved the way he bullied Zamora who's a big lad and softens up some of the best centre halfs with his elbows and shoulder barges. It's been a while since I've seen one of our defenders win a physical battle like that. Lord knows Vida couldn't be arsed last season. He's only 24 too.
Maybe, maybe not. Will have to discover an attacking verve there's been precisely zero evidence of in his career to date if he's going to be as good as peak Paddy. And you're expecting this in the next season or two?
I think it's worth remembering that while Paddy was a great attacking fullback it was the supporting he excelled at rather than the attacking itself. Evra's productivity was appalling for a player that would spend half his time getting into great positions. It was his overlapping, the way he would create space and link up that made him so good going forward. Shaw hasn't had a winger ahead of him all season so how can we compare? Seeing as wingbacks are expected to play the final ball as well as beat a man with the ball at his feet, how do you think peak Evra would have coped with that let alone the declineing one?
That's all fair. Although with players like Cleverley, Kagawa and Welbeck it's not who they were/are that needs replacing it's what we thought they would become. Amongst the very best players in the league in their position. All we can say with absolute certainty is that applies to none of their replacements right now. Will it apply in the future? Hopefully but again your timeframe seems seriously optimistic.
Herrera is only 2 days older than Cleverley and has far higher potential so that's a good swap.
Mata is a year older than Kagawa and I don't think a comparison is necessary there.
Welbeck, I rate as highly as you do. Time will tell but clearly it's Wilson who is thought to be the better prospect by the club and they're investing in him as a result.
We might be "moving in the right direction" but we're miles short of the almost finished article that Chelsea were last season. Too many doubts about too many players. And that's if you ignore the most important doubts of all, the ones about our manager!
Comparing us to Chelsea last year I really don't see there being a great deal in it.
Their strike force was a mess and their midfield had huge problems supporting them while they needed a fullback to give them numbers and stability in defence.
We're imbalanced in the other way, our defence is a mess and it has trouble supporting our midfield while we need a good attacking wide player to give us more attacking threat.
They bought Felipe Luis, Matic, Fabregas and Diego Costa to remedy that.
If we bought Coleman, Hummels, Bale (Reus?) and Strootman, I think we'd have similar quality squad and team to challenge for the title. It might cost more that what they spent but we're comparing squads and quality rather than outlay here.
De Gea
Coleman - Smalling - Hummels - Shaw
Strootman - Blind
Bale - Mata - Di Maria
Rooney
Or think of the counterattacking in this team:
De Gea
Coleman - Smalling - Hummels - Shaw
Strootman - Blind - Di Maria
Bale - Wilson- Rooney
Then the strength of our squad:
Valdes
Rafael - Jones - Rojo - Blind
Fellaini - Carrick - Herrera
Nani? - Van Persie - Januzaj
Summer is an important window, invest well and we'll be right up there next season.