It would also validate NATO's approach of flooding Ukraine with NATO quality weapons to play the long game and basically grind it out until Putin runs out of resources, all the while continuing to economically choke him from within. At that point, he will either be forced to negotiate or escalate (which would be tacit suicide for him, as any use of WMDs would turn the entire world against him).
Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) is joined by CEO Duncan Drasdo and Financial Director Andy Green from the Manchester United Supporters Trust for a special episode on all things behind the scenes at Old Trafford including a brief history of MUST and their aims today, views on INEOS and Sir Jim Ratcliffe so far, and the Old Trafford regeneration.
It would also validate NATO's approach of flooding Ukraine with NATO quality weapons to play the long game and basically grind it out until Putin runs out of resources, all the while continuing to economically choke him from within. At that point, he will either be forced to negotiate or escalate (which would be tacit suicide for him, as any use of WMDs would turn the entire world against him).
So, it turns out it was all made up. We're not talking about inflated numbers, we're talking about a fake story. Tarabalka was just a random pilot.
If the past week or so since Putin rebooted his offensive in the east is any indication, not much will happen between now and then. Maybe, Putin intends to declare victory after having expunged Ukrainian fascists out of Mariupol.
I think you nailed it: just be more of the same type of warfare, followed by a speech from Putin in which an alternate reality is painted: minimal Russian losses, major gains in east Ukraine, no mention of dead generals or the Moskva sinking, Mariupol under full control, well on course to establish a land corridor right across the south to Transnistria etc.
I don't think there will be any major breakthrough by Russian forces, because at this stage I don't think they have to capacity and will to achieve it. I'd reckon that 90% of the Russian troops just want to escape the hell they are in and go home.
What's more likely is some kind of spectacular/audacious attack by Ukraine on or just before May 9th to puncture the Russian balloon. Ideally this would be a strike on the May 9th parade itself, but I doubt that's possible.
I really doubt that's going to happen.
A good thread from Weiss. Key points aside from those listed below are don’t expect large counter-offensives soon as they will need to scale them up carefully, but they will soon have in place more artillery with a longer range than the Russians’ which will allow them to shell positions better.
Meanwhile Oryx announces two milestones for Russian losses:
I assume this has been posted already
Russian state tv casually talking about destroying ireland and U.K. with underwater drone setting off nuclear explosion triggering 500m high tsunami
https://m.independent.ie/world-news...lates-nuclear-attack-on-ireland-41607244.html
Russian state tv casually talking about destroying ireland and U.K. with underwater drone setting off nuclear explosion triggering 500m high tsunami
https://m.independent.ie/world-news...lates-nuclear-attack-on-ireland-41607244.html
Ffs. I swear this is what I wish Putin would be forced to go through in the streets of Den Haag.
I swear those people can be braindead as hell. Can you seriously imagine how much shit would fly around if anyone on any of the main US news channels (even that shite called Fox News) was saying that about an enemy of the United States on live national television?
Earlier today footage appeared from two sunken patrol boats near Snake Island, now we got even more footage of attacks on the Island itself:
Looks like Ukraine really wants that little island back.
Looks like Ukraine really wants that little island back.
It appers there is a hole in their Black Sea air defense since the Moskva sinking.
Sitting here waiting for the NATO weapons to be finally brought to the frontline to blow the Russians back to the East.
Let's see those howitzers in action.
Let's see those howitzers in action.
I really do have to laugh at the thought that Russia can claim it hasn't formally declared war here yet. The moment you send troops in and start attacking their army you have declared war. A lack of announcement isn't going to change that fact.
Europe, US and Asia should try to get 100% of their energy from renewable sources. This is extremely important for the environment. But it is also important because Russia and other dictators get their money (and their power) from oil.
It can be done. With a combination of solar, wind, hydro and nuclear energy.
This past Sunday, California produced 100% of their energy from clean sources. California is the 5th largest economy in the world.
https://electrek.co/2022/05/02/cali...rgy-for-the-first-time-with-solar-dominating/
It can be done. With a combination of solar, wind, hydro and nuclear energy.
This past Sunday, California produced 100% of their energy from clean sources. California is the 5th largest economy in the world.
https://electrek.co/2022/05/02/cali...rgy-for-the-first-time-with-solar-dominating/
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From what I understand, a declaration of war would mostly be an internal matter. For the outside world, the war is already on, obviously. But the Russian population has been told that this is no war, so a major shift in messaging would be required. Russia would only go through that trouble if they figured that they really need the manpower that a declaration of war would bring, cause it would allow for the conscription of the general population - which they legally can't do now. This comes with risks (internal opposition, cost), so it's not an obvious step.
Someone else could probably explain this better, but that's the gist of it to my knowledge.
Quebec has being doing that permanently for a long time, and exports electricity on top of that, because they have gigantic hydro dams in the north. Not all jurisdictions have this option, but generally, the issue isn't whether it's possible, but how advanced countries are in this regard.
The mind boggles when I think California’s economy is bigger than Germany’s.
Regardless that is a massive achievement for energy.
so, Thousands of Ukranians are dead in an unjust invasion and Scholz doesn't want to visit Kyiv because German president who was pro Putin until recently was snubbed by Ukraine?
He can't, Ukraine created a massive protocol issue here. By denying Steinmeier's visit and requesting Scholz should travel instead, Ukraine created a situation where Germany's souvereignity would be questioned by giving in to that, which just isn't acceptable.
Germany can't be blackmailed this way by abusing dead Ukrainians as an argument. It was a huge diplomatic blunder by Ukraine, so we will not see a German chancellor visit Ukraine anytime soon.
But in the end this is just about symbols, it isn't important for the working relation and for giving support to Ukraine.
It didn't create anything, Germany need to take it to the cheek and just submit. They have created it to themselves both politically and diplomatically, by being slow and unsure of their actions before. They deserve this little slap to understand the severity of the situation and learn from it - hopefully.
I'm not surprised by Scholz's statement and I can understand the logic behind it. But you still have to wonder whether now is the time to put protocol first. Aren't great leaders the ones who know when to put formalities second, so they can act when it's really necessary?
Also: leave it to Melnyk to call him a "sulking liver sausage".
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Russia's best propaganda asset in Germany? The Ukrainian ambassador.Also: leave it to Melnyk to call him a "sulking liver sausage".
I agree that the German politics during the last years didn't make Ukraine happy and that they have any right to complain about it.
But I have a huge problems with a statement that any country should "just submit" to anything.
We see a war were Ukraine fights to not to have to submit to something another country wants it to do. A fight for the right of souvereign countries to be free in their decision.
If Ukraine fights for this freedom for everyone as they claim, they can't demand that someone comes to visit them who is representing another free country.
I personally would also like to see less if these formalities, but it is a simple fact that the German public support for the Ukraine war effort is bigger than for their (in regard to Germany) questionable diplomacy. Sending weapons but not the chancellor makes sense from this point of view.