Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

They don't need any excuses. Russia is not comparable to a working democracy or any western society and people need to stop comparing it to one. Russian leaders doesn't need any excuses for anything they do, as long as the people see them as the strong leaders that can protect the people from outside aggression they can do what ever they want and they can say what ever they want. The one big threat to Putin is if the people start seeing him as weak and not able to protect them, then they will turn on him.
They routinely look to manipulate situations as excuses to do things. They’ve literally attacked their own people for it in the past. I’m not saying it definitely is this, but they’ve done it many times. If it were as you say, they wouldn’t have bothered doing the examples below, on the US embassy website. They’d just do what they want to do regardless.

https://uk.usembassy.gov/how-russia-conducts-false-flag-operations/
 
As for the embarrassment — it’s not a small one. And, more importantly, it happened right before the Victory Day parade that takes place on the Red Square and Putin is always there, out in the open. Now he’d either going to miss it (unlikely) or stay there on the stands, thinking about how reliable his air defense is.

Or he just sends one of his doubles again.
 
By the way, the notion that the Kremlin can just do whatever they want at any time doesn't seem to fly.

 


That old cnut of a Russian representative clearly asked for all of it.

Now I challenge him to try doing the same with an American flag in Boston. We will see how that goes for him.

edit: The added music makes the scene 200% better in this reply.

 
On the false flag issue: most (if not all) of Ukraine operations in enemy ocuppied territory has been focused in diminishing Russia's logistic capabilities, i.e. targeting military infrastructure, weaponry or ammo depots, or power and transportation lines. The attack on the Kerch bridge follows that patern. The drone attack on the Kremlin dome doesn't. It just looks too much of an outlier.

Anyway, it's remarkable that one year into the war we're still unable to distinguish between Russia's staged incompetence and plain incompetence.
 
On the false flag issue: most (if not all) of Ukraine operations in enemy ocuppied territory has been focused in diminishing Russia's logistic capabilities, i.e. targeting military infrastructure, weaponry or ammo depots, or power and transportation lines. The attack on the Kerch bridge follows that patern. The drone attack on the Kremlin dome doesn't. It just looks too much of an outlier.

Anyway, it's remarkable that one year into the war we're still unable to distinguish between Russia's staged incompetence and plain incompetence.

The attempted assassination of Aleksandr Dugin, that ended up killing his daughter instead?
 
Prigozhin went competely mental, perfect timing for Ukraine's counteroffensive. In this state, Wagner will run as soon as they see the first Leopard.

Here is a subbed version:


Prigozihn said:
Look at them, you bitches! (…) you sit in expensive clubs (…) your children make YouTube videos (…) you think you have the right to dispose of their [Wagner fighters] lives (…) they came here as volunteers and died so you could gorge yourselves in your offices

Incomprehensible how he tells the absolute truth and they still volunteer to go to Ukraine instead of starting riots in Russia. A people of slaves.
 
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It’s all ball bearings nowadays…



https://interfax.com/newsroom/top-stories/88585/

Being china so close geographically and by political interest, i dont know if russia will have as much problems to supply the war and the economy war effort. I suspect that Russian economical expectations (bar moscow) are not the same as middle class from the west and can bare being in a shit situation while being brainwashed for the motherland

Ukraine will have to beat russia in the battlefield or it can last a decade
 
Reading all of below, it’s clear something will have to give eventually and once Ukrainian counteroffensive begins this will power struggle will only intensify. For all of those people blaming Ukrainian generals for holding on to Bakhmut when it appears to be strategically of less importance, I think they know Russia and their mentality the best and have factored in the implications similar to what we see unfolding as something worth fighting as it can shake up the whole battlefield.
 
On the false flag issue: most (if not all) of Ukraine operations in enemy ocuppied territory has been focused in diminishing Russia's logistic capabilities, i.e. targeting military infrastructure, weaponry or ammo depots, or power and transportation lines. The attack on the Kerch bridge follows that patern. The drone attack on the Kremlin dome doesn't. It just looks too much of an outlier.

Anyway, it's remarkable that one year into the war we're still unable to distinguish between Russia's staged incompetence and plain incompetence.
What about the murders of Dugina and Tatarsky? Not that we know who did it but those do follow that pattern.
 
Not that I believe a word these sick fecks say.


Yea, they have been "withdrawing" for weeks now. A week or so ago he mentioned that Wagner will cease to exist soon with the casualty rate they are having, maybe the time has finally come because there is no way 100+ deaths each day only on Bakhmut front is sustainable in any way.

Translated statement:

 
In my opinion, there are 2 possible reasons for this announcement:

1. Prigozhin's last try to blackmail the Russian military to get better equipment.
His forces were the only ones advancing since last summer. The capture of Soledar and 80% of Bakhmut are the only advances worth mentioning on the russian side (we ignore the losses here), so he can be cocky about it. If he feels he has leverage with Putin, because his Wagners are the only competent force Russia has, he can behave as he did in the last couple of weeks, insult and ridicule the highest Russian militairs without consequences. If they begin to fear his withdrawal, they will give him what he wants by his logic.

2. Putin ordered Wagner's role in Ukraine to be reduced.
Maybe Putin doesn't like the way Wagner operates, maybe he fears their growing strength and influence. Maybe he wants the Bakhmut battle to be finished by Russian military rather then by illegal mercenaries to be able to sell it to his people. Maybe he needs them gone, if he ever wants to start talking with the west again. Maybe he remembered, that mercenary organizations are still illegal in Russia (lol). That he dismissed some higher militairs because of their connection to Wagner and Wagner's starvation of ammo and equipment supports that theory.
In this case, Prigozhin decided to blame Gerassimow and Shoigu rather than Putin of course, because Putin is the only one he truly fears.

--
In any case, this is pretty big. If Prigozhin officially announces to withdraw from Bakhmut, then I don't see how he will change his mind easily. Also I don't think the Russian military will start to supply him with everything he asks for. Then they would open themselves to further blackmail.
 
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Looks like the first successful interception of the Kinzhal missile. If true, it would be huge.
 


Russia is getting weaker by the day. As soon as Ukraine's active counteroffensive phase starts, the shit will hit the fan and they will start blaming each other. The preconditions couldn't be better for Ukraine right now.
 
As everything in Russia it’s all fake, to Putin it was probably sold as hypersonic by MoD since it wasn’t meant to be put to a real test anyway.
Putin probably is now really wondering how many of his nukes could lift, and of those how many would detonate instead of just fizzling.
 
"They've got the ornithologists involved" :lol: :lol: :lol:

One of the funniest rants I've seen so far.

 
I guess it's not really hypersonic.
It is, but one has to keep in mind what that actually means. Reaching a speed higher than Mach 5, that's it. Kinzhal is operating close to this lower boundary and therefore similar to the German V2, that's now 80 years old.

Yes, the speed is a problem for most systems, but this is exactly what Patriot is designed to intercept.
 
It is, but one has to keep in mind what that actually means. Reaching a speed higher than Mach 5, that's it. Kinzhal is operating close to this lower boundary and therefore similar to the German V2, that's now 80 years old.

Yes, the speed is a problem for most systems, but this is exactly what Patriot is designed to intercept.
For ballistic missiles those are normal speeds but that thing is supposed to be cruise , is it not? I haven't really read into the newer Russian systems and their claims.
 
"They've got the ornithologists involved" :lol: :lol: :lol:

One of the funniest rants I've seen so far.


"Have you got any brains at all?" - said a guy proudly wearing his CCCP sweatshirt in a TV show notoriously known for spouting all sort of ridiculous nonsense every day.