A negotiated settlement resulting in Assad's removal ? I think that would work. Because anything short of that will ensure the violence goes on, excepting a military intervention to remove Assad by force.
Which ensures the violence will go on....
That's Assad's fault for waiting too long to try negotiations. He's pounded the public into submission to where there's no turning back until he leaves.
Regardless of whether he's to blame, forcefully overthrowing him will only worsen the violence. See Iraq and currently Libya to see the carnage that'll likely ensue.
So, Egypt is to be run by either the guy that ran it last time or the islamists.
I'm sure either of them will be truly dedicated to future democracy.
Glad everyone got what they wanted.
Back from the protests and going down again God's willing. Things are kicking out..this could be big...inshallah
Let's hope so.
Be careful though, I have this horrible feeling Mubarak isn't going to go down quietly and will unleash brutal retaliatory attacks in an act of desperation.
Let's hope Mubarak burns.
Let's hope that Arab dictators are replaced by something better. We have enough evidence for being cautious about what may come next.
I agree with your sentiments. However, I'm not sure the the Arab world is quite ready for full on democracy. It's quite possible at this moment in time some extremist nut jobs may obtain power via a democratic vote.
Its very easy to be pessimistic about the run-off. I am for sure. As I said above, this was an absolute disaster scenario. I cannot quite believe how off the polls were either.
But its important to remember that:
-Mubarak is gone
-Egypt just had their first free presidential elections where no-one knew who was going to win
-All 13 candidates, even the military man, were going around the country asking people to vote for them. They weren't taken for granted.
-For all the talks about how Egypt cannot see beyond religion, the split of people voting secular to Islamist was 57:43. The 43 includes relative moderate Aboul Fotouh.
-People are getting fed up with the Brotherhood already. From 40% of the vote and 47& of the seats in a turnout of 55-60% in parliament, to a 25% share of a 49-50% turnout. Overplayed their hand.
-The pro-revolutionary candidates gained more votes than either Shafiq or Mursi. Shame they were split
Though saying all that:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/28/w...an-elites-fears.html?_r=1&partner=rss&emc=rss
What a scary man. Had the cheek the other day to say as well the revolution has been hijacked and that he would be the one to return it
As a side note, SCAF are fecking geniuses. There is no way Shafiq would be reaching this stage 6 months ago. They've prolonged the transition and helped turn more people against the revolution.
I don't envy the choice Egyptians have to make now. I can't decide which one would be worse.
Mubarak sentenced to life in prison.
Mubarak sentenced to life in prison.
Got off lightly...then again, it could have ended like Gaddafi. Not sure what the end for Bashar is going to be like...exile in Iran?
Is there any logic in executing an 84 year old man whos supposedly quite poorly anyway?
Don't get me wrong, I share the same abhorrence towards him as the Egyptian people do, but I think it that refraining from giving him the tempting sentence of an execution would do well in showcasing Egypt's leap towards a more progressive face.
The barbaric manner in which Gadaffi was killed only soured the image of the supposedly pro-democracy 'rebels' the western world began to champion.
CNN Breaking News @cnnbrk
Former Egyptian leader Hosni Mubarak in "full coma."
Oh dear, SCAF is continuing one of the sneakiest military coups in history at the moment.
Shafiq is allowed to continue (and I now feel that he will win). Parliament has been dissolved I believe (or at the least the third which were meant to be independents). And there are rumours that SCAF has now said they will nominate the constituent assembly, though I can't find confirmation of this at the moment.
Gigi Ibrahim, a prominent Egyptian socialist and revolutionary:
'We are now legally, constitutionally, and directly under military rule/dictatorship'
Looks like revolution 2.0 needs to start soon.
Not gonna happen, you get one go at this...and it looks like, the military has outmaneuvered everyone.